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- BUSINESS, Page 49Business NotesECONOMYLooking at a Rocky Recovery
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- The economic recession is over. Now get ready for -- another
- recession? That's a real possibility, say economists. The
- government reported last week that the economy grew at a barely
- measurable 0.4% annualized rate in the second quarter. But it
- may be premature to celebrate the arrival of good times again.
- "Usually we shoot right out of an economic hole," says economist
- Allen Sinai. "This time we're crawling out."
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- Business activity remains so sluggish that the jobless
- rate is expected to continue to rise for the rest of the year.
- Some experts even warn that the economy, burdened by high debts
- and a weak banking system, could fall again unless the Federal
- Reserve moves quickly to lower interest rates. Fed Chairman Alan
- Greenspan has kept rates firm to control inflation. But with the
- threat of a "double-dip recession" hovering over the economy,
- Greenspan may feel new pressure from the Administration to relax
- his monetary grip as the 1992 presidential election draws near.
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